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ECB Maintains Rates but Keeps Door Open for October Move

Published: February 25, 2026, 12:09 pm  |  Source: HeyFx Market Desk

The European Central Bank left key interest rates unchanged but President Lagarde refused to commit to a specific path forward.

The European Central Bank (ECB) has decided to keep its main refinancing rate steady at 4.25%, matching market expectations. During the subsequent press conference, ECB President Christine Lagarde emphasized that the Governing Council remains entirely data-dependent and is not pre-committing to any specific rate path.

Despite the pause, the statement noted that underlying inflation metrics are slowly easing, although services inflation remains a stubborn pain point. The Euro (EUR) experienced choppy trading against major peers like the US Dollar (USD) and the British Pound (GBP) as traders digested the nuanced message.

Most analysts believe another rate cut in October is still on the table, provided that wage growth moderates and inflation continues its downward trajectory. The focus now shifts to the preliminary PMI data due next week, which will offer a fresh look at the health of the Eurozone economy.

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